by Keith Glab, BaseballEvolution.com
December 3, 2006
Alex Gonzalez had made us exceptionally happy here at BaseballEvolution.com.
After once again declining like a ski run this past year, Asher had more
validation for making him the poster boy for second half tumbles. His
injury-plagued .695 OPS season made Tony happy since he's a Yankees fan, and it
made me happy because there would be no way that a team would sign such a
player to a multi-year deal, meaning that his Alex Gonzalez of the Marlins Award
could keep its name.
What I wasn't counting on was the unrelenting idiocy of the Cincinnati
Reds, who were apparently still dazzled by Alex's production during the first
two months of 2003, and thus signed him to a three-year deal worth $14 million.
Can we still call it the Alex Gonzalez of the Marlins Award?
Despite what will be four straight seasons on a team with "Red" in its name
(barring a trade), Alex spent eight years on the Marlins, and I'm confident that
he'll go into Cooperstown wearing that turquoise fish logo... as a tourist
someday.
American League Candidates
Alex Gonzalez (of the Red Sox)
Gonzalez
|
At Bats
|
HR
|
RBI
|
AVG
|
OBP
|
SLG
|
Pre-AS |
243 |
5 |
27 |
.284 |
.327 |
.407 |
Post-AS
|
145 |
4 |
23 |
.207 |
.252 |
.379 |
Pre-August |
178 |
8 |
34 |
.285 |
.330 |
.427 |
Post-July |
87 |
1 |
14 |
.179 |
.265 |
.301 |
For those of you scoring at home, Alex Gonzalez is now a robust .225 career
hitter after the break with a .214 mark after July. Sure he declined in
2006, but it happened partly due to injury and seemed a somewhat gentle slope
for the legend himself. The trouble is that for him to win his award, he's
going to need to put together another good first half at some point, and I'm not
sure that he has it in him anymore.
Johnny Gomes
Gomes |
At Bats |
HR |
RBI |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
Pre-AS |
280 |
18 |
52 |
.250 |
.352 |
.511 |
Post-AS
|
105 |
2 |
7 |
.124 |
.254 |
.219 |
April |
82 |
11 |
23 |
.305 |
.453 |
.732 |
Post-April |
303 |
9 |
29 |
.191 |
.284 |
.350 |
It's not a terribly good sign when a player fails to win the AGotM Award
because he couldn't sustain his success for a long enough period of time.
All we're asking for is two months, people! Not to get all
Splitsville here, but Johnny
wound up hitting .187 against fellow right-handers this year, which explains a
lot. Before the season started, I predicted that Gomes' career path would
mirror Ben Grieve's. My apologies go out to the entire Grieve family for
such a grievous effrontery.
Chris Shelton
Shelton |
At Bats |
HR |
RBI |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
Pre-AS |
301 |
16 |
42 |
.282 |
.348 |
.508 |
Post-AS
|
72 |
0 |
5 |
.236 |
.304 |
.292 |
April |
92 |
10 |
20 |
.326 |
.404 |
.783 |
Post-April |
303 |
9 |
29 |
.256 |
.317 |
.349 |
It's not a terribly good sign when Johnny Gomes Lite is an apt nickname for
you. At least Shelton's final numbers look solid. Ten years from
now, some kid's going to look at the back of his Chris Shelton and Sean Casey
baseball cards and assume that Shelton got injured at the end of July.
"Why else would a playoff-bound team replace an .806 OPS first baseman with a
.650 OPS one?" he'll ask. That's right, OPS will be a standard statistic
on baseball cards by the year 2017. You heard it here first.
We'd consider coming out with a Shelton and Gomes Award for 2007, but I don't
think we'll be seeing any other players with that good of Aprils fall so
drastically for many years to come.
Nick Swisher
Swisher |
At Bats |
HR |
RBI |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
Pre-AS |
306 |
20 |
52 |
.258 |
.378 |
.510 |
Post-AS
|
250 |
15 |
43 |
.248 |
.364 |
.472 |
Pre-June |
187 |
16 |
42 |
.305 |
.405 |
.783 |
Post-May |
303 |
19 |
53 |
.228 |
.345 |
.423 |
Nick the Stick Jr. seemed like a lock to win this award at the end of August,
as he had just completed a three-month stretch in which he had hit .211 with 12
homers. But he proceeded to go .294/.450/.612 in September to prove that
he could adjust to the league as well as the league could adjust to him.
Hank Blalock
Blalock |
At Bats |
HR |
RBI |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
Pre-AS |
334 |
12 |
60 |
.287 |
.352 |
.443 |
Post-AS
|
257 |
4 |
29 |
.237 |
.289 |
.346 |
Pre-June |
197 |
8 |
38 |
.310 |
.382 |
.492 |
Post-May |
303 |
8 |
51 |
.244 |
.294 |
.354 |
The easy solution would have been to give Alex Gonzalez his own award,
especially after Blalock had a decent month of August with a high, empty batting
average. But after examining the numbers more closely, we give Blalock the
edge. The Rangers' third baseman actually walked more often than he struck
out during the first two months of the season, only to whiff nearly thrice as
often as he walked thereafter. He also followed his moderately successful
August with one of the more dismal Septembers you'll ever see, as he hit .168
for the month.
Congratulations to Hank Blalock, the 2006 AL AGotM Award winner, and
congratulations also to our own Richard Van Zandt, who
picked Blalock before the season
started.
National League Winner
Nomar Garciaparra
Garciaparra |
At Bats |
HR |
RBI |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
Pre-AS |
268 |
11 |
53 |
.358 |
.426 |
.578 |
Post-AS
|
201 |
9 |
40 |
.229 |
.286 |
.408 |
Pre-July |
233 |
10 |
47 |
.365 |
.424 |
.597 |
Post-June |
236 |
10 |
46 |
.242 |
.295 |
.415 |
Over in the National League, there was no contest for the AGotM Award; Nomar
ran away with it as
Tony knew he would before the season even started.
This marks the second straight season that a Dodger came away with the hardware. Time will tell whether Nomar's injury-riddled body simply cannot handle triple
digits in games played, whether his second half was a fluke (his power and
strikeout numbers remained constant), or whether he's begun a serious decline. But even
if he never has another good first half again, he can rest easy knowing that he
won two major awards in 2006.
Honorable Menchion
Mench |
At Bats |
HR |
RBI |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
Rangers |
320 |
12 |
50 |
.284 |
.338 |
.459 |
Brewers |
126 |
1 |
18 |
.230 |
.248 |
.317 |
Pre-August |
332 |
13 |
55 |
.286 |
.332 |
.488 |
Post-July |
114 |
0 |
13 |
.219 |
.246 |
.289 |
I'm so clever. While Kevin Mench's numbers speak for themselves, he
can't take home the award because he spent time in both leagues, just as Bobby
Abreu couldn't have won the MVP Award. Moreover,
we always expect a decline when a hitter leaves the Texas Rangers (Perhaps they
should build a
fountain of Arlington?), not that park factors explain
zero homers
in 121 post-July at bats. He joins Matt Lawton in what is sure to be a
long line of honorable mentions for the AGotM Award.
Disagree with something? Got something to add? Wanna bring up something totally new? Keith resides in Chicago, Illinois and can be reached at keith@baseballevolution.com.