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Roger:
What do you think of the hiring of Bochy? And what moves would you like to see the Giants make in the off-season? If the Giants don't bring back Bonds, Alou or Durham, how will they score runs? In 2005, the Giants dropped off 201 runs in scoring when Barry missed almost all the season. Last season when he returned, even at less than he had been previously, they regained about half of the loss.
Richard:
Well Rog, I like the hiring of Bochy though really, none of
the candidates (Piniella included) excited me all that
much. In the end I felt that Bochy was the best qualified
for the job (Pinella included) though I also felt that -
though not overwhelmed by any of them - there were several
good candidates. Manny Acta would likely have been my
second choice with Bud Black not far behind him. I'd like
to see Ron Wotus get a shot at managing someone but I felt
at this time it would have been better to start fresh with a
new, outside approach. He may still be back as a bench
coach which could be a good thing as far as continuity. I'm
hearing Righetti has agreed to come back and that is good
news. Hopefully Mark Gardner will be back in the bullpen as
well.
Bochy did a very good job in his time with San Diego,
winning four divisions in 12 years without any overpowering
lineups or high payrolls. The Padres in fact won the West
last year with the 17th highest payroll in baseball (the
Giants were 10th). He's a player's manager and has
consistently gotten a lot out of little. I think it even
says a lot that he withstood five straight losing seasons;
management realizing that he was doing a good job despite
their failure to field a terribly competitive team.
It will be interesting to see how well he works out. This
is only Sabean's second crack at hiring a field boss, having
inherited Dusty Baker. I have to admit excitement when
Felipe Alou was first announced as manager but within a half
a season I was already having my doubts. By the middle of
'04 I had realized that Alou needed to go. Sadly we had to
wait far longer than I had hoped so I am a bit more reserved
this time around although I do have a good feeling about
him.
As far as off-season moves, aside from letting Pedro Feliz
go far, far away, I think they need to work on getting guys
with better on-base ability. The Giants were second to last
in the NL in OBP in 2005 (with Feliz' historically low .281
mark - the 14th lowest in ML history among all hitters with
at least 640 PA - leading the way) and that is an area that
needs to get a lot better.
Obviously they have holes to fill - 3B, 1B, 2B, left, center
and/or right field and quite possibly catcher - and of
course they'll have to address Jason Schmidt and if he's not
back, who would replace him. However I'm not as concerned
about the state of the pitching staff as the rest of the
roster. They need obviously to get younger. I've remained
a supporter of Sabean despite my constant angst last
off-season over the age of the ball club, but I am glad to
see that they say they will abandon the extreme veteran
philosophy - though given the early Luis Gonzalez rumors I
remain a tad skeptical of that claim. At the same time, I
am mindful of the fact that 19 players drafted by Sabean
played with the Giants in 2006 so I definitely see younger
days on the horizon.
At third base, one guy who I feel the Giants would be wise
to go after via the trade route would be Morgan Ensberg of
Houston. Coming off a down year and still, I believe, only
arbitration eligible (he made $3.8 million in '06), he would
be affordable and would not cost as much to acquire given
his poor showing this past season. He gets on base a lot
(.396 OBP in '06 despite his .235 BA) and I feel that it was
last season rather than the '05 season that was an
aberration. He would be a significant upgrade over Feliz.
I'm certainly not against bringing back Durham but that
would depend on whether he prices himself out of the Giants
range. With Frandsen waiting in the wings, they should not
go overboard on him. An alternative choice that intrigues
me would be Mark DeRosa. Though he didn't see a lot of time
at second base in '06, he can play there and could be a
cheaper stop-gap to Frandsen.
At first base, Hillenbrand obviously was a bit disappointing
after they acquired him and his lowish OBP does concern me
though given the right set of circumstances and surrounding
players, I'm not against bringing him back. He is a career
.287 hitter and before joining the Giants, his OBP was .342
and the previous two seasons it was .343 and .348. Not real
high but not all that low either. Getting traded mid-season
- even at your own request - can be hard enough to adjust to
(we often forget these are human beings and not robots) and
he obviously had an extreme set of circumstances with all
that led to his departure in Toronto.
I've seen that they seem to be chasing Gary Matthews Jr. to
play CF though I expect he'll return to Texas should they
hire Wakamatsu as their manager which I expect they will.
I'm not so sure though that he didn't just have a career
year and I would be a bit apprehensive about him. Still he
might be a better CF choice than anyone else who is
available on the free agent market. I like Juan Pierre's
speed a lot and I think that's something the Giants could
use more of but he sure made a lot of outs last year (11th
highest single season total in history) while recording just
a .330 OBP.
Of course Alfonso Soriano's name is the hot one on the
market and the one many Giants fans seem to covet. I'm not
as big on him as other people are but then again I'm not
against him either. But I do think the price range he's
seeking (he supposedly wants Beltran type money) will keep
the team out of the running and probably for the best. He's
a very good player but not one to build a team around.
As far as free agents go, the market is kind of thin,
especially in the outfield and Sabean may just have to work
his magic through trades. Given his prolific track record
in that regard (A.J. Pierzynski aside), that does not
concern me.
As for Mr. Bonds, well, what can you say? He had a
fantastic final two months of the '06 season but struggled
badly before that. That however could be expected of any
player who missed nearly an entire season. Still, he is
going to be 43 next July and you have to wonder how much he
is worth and even more importantly, how much you would get
back from him? The Giants have plenty of money to spend but
nonetheless need to spend it judiciously. Spending $14
million (what he most recently is rumored to be seeking for
'07) on him would not be wise and if he were to continue
with that type of demand, I can't see him returning. I
personally hope they can bridge the gap because I have
enjoyed watching him play all these years and would like to
see him break the record in a Giants uniform. Still, if
he's not reasonable financially, then it may be time to move
on. I've never been one to fear the post-Bonds years,
perhaps because I'm old enough to remember the Giants in a
World Series without him.
As for Moises Alou, I really can't say I'm going to miss
him. What a disappointment he was. Whether it be him
missing time due to injury or his lackluster numbers in the
clutch in '05, he just didn't pan out liked we'd all have
hoped. I wish him well but feel it would be best for him to
move on. They need to get younger and healthier.
As for Schmidt, I don't expect him back because I think some
team (Seattle) will offer him too much to turn down and more
than the Giants can/should spend on him. He's been fabulous
but with his recent history of injury concerns, I'd be very
reluctant to go overboard on him. Then again, the options
are once again limited in an unspectacular free agent year.
Daisuke Matsuaka would be a neat addition but he'll be way
too expensive. Barry Zito on the other hand presents an
atractive alternative (and a nice way to zing the A's at the
same time). Still, as I said, with Lowry, Cain and Morris
and with Lincecum on the way, I'm not too concerned about
starting pitching. Obviously they need to address the
bullpen though, especially if Kline and Stanton are not
resigned but bullpen guys are a dime a dozen and a crapshoot
at best it seems nowadays.
Finally, the catching position needs to be addressed in the
likelyhood that Matheny will not be back. As we've
discussed, Alfonzo is not a starting catcher. I would not
be opposed to him as a backup by all means but they need to
find a better starting alternative. Among free agent
possibilities - and again they are limited - the two best
options are either Bengie Molina or Mike Piazza. Piazza
would help with the need for an offensive weapon but does
not fit the "getting younger" profile and is a liability
behind the plate which doesn't make a very good compliment
to Alfonzo. Molina would be my choice because he's younger
and much better defensively. And he's no slouch with a bat
either though his OBP does not fit the profile I outliined
earlier. Still, he is more of an offensive weapon than
Matheny and catcher is a position where a little offense can
be sacrificed in favor of defense.
One other option though that could be a cheaper, more viable
one would be Gregg Zaun who provides a nice blend of offense
and defense at a more affordable price. However, he'll be
36 and has limited starting experience.
Where will the offense come from in '07? Well we're a long
way away from knowing that. We should certainly begin to
start finding out soon as Sabean has always been proactive
at this time of the year. I'm sure he has a plan of attack
and I'm not worried. The Giants have averaged nearly 89
wins a year since Sabean took over and have every
confidence in the Giants management to put together a team
that can compete for the western division title.
Good to hear from you again and keep in touch. Go Giants!
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