by Tony Aubry, BaseballEvolution.com
December 3, 2006
Throughout the year, we have heard about how great the
rookie class of Ď06 was. In the National League, we basically had the entire
Marlins team, along with Ryan Zimmerman and Prince Fielder. In the American
League, we had a trio of pitchers; Justin Verlander, Francisco Liriano, and
Jared Weaver were the top 3 rookies in the A.L. Unfortunately for Liriano, he
hurt his arm in the middle of the year, which was the reason he didnít win the
ROY Award. Ultimately, Liriano had to have the infamous Tommy John surgery. The Ď06
class was certainly one to remember, but what about the rookie class to Ď39?
Well, say hello to Teddy Ballgame, Charlie ďKing KongĒ
Keller, Dizzy Trout, Hal ďPrinceĒ Newhouser, Mickey Vernon, and 300-game winner
Early Wynn. Ted Williams is arguably one of the top 3 or 4 players ever. Wynn
and Newhouser are in the Hall of Fame. Vernon had a weird career, but was
certainly a useful player. Keller is severely underrated, as he walked 300 more
times than he struck out and accumulated 299
ABR despite playing in only 5
full seasons. Trout was a very good pitcher throughout the 40ís.
We really canít compare the two classes since we donít know
how the class of Ď06 will pan out. But I know for sure none of them will be as
good as Williams, and the chances of three of them going to the HOF are slim to
none. I donít want to start projecting careers, but I am no fan of Justin
Verlander. Liriano wonít be pitching again until 2008, so who the hell knows
how heíll pan out. I donít like Dan Uggla either. The numbers he put up are very
similar to what he did in Ď05. But in Ď05, he played in the minors and it wasnít
even Triple-A; it was Double-A. So how does a player put up numbers in the
majors, while playing in a park favorable to pitchers, similar to what he put up
in the minor leagues? Luck. I do like Hanley Ramirez, though. An OPS+ of 117
from a SS is rare, and he stole 59 bases at a very good 77% clip. He also earned
Fielding Win Shares, which was
good for 6th among SS.
Enough about this year; Letís talk about the class of Ď39.
Ted Williams obviously needs no introduction, but I believe King Kong Keller and
the others may.
Keller is one of my favorite players of all time, and as I
mentioned before, he is really underrated. In Ď39 Keller walked 81 times while
only striking out 49 times. He also had an OPS+ of 144 and tallied up 31 batting
runs. Then from 1940-1946, Keller averaged a line of .285/.407/.534 and 34 ABR.
Keller was probably one of the top 5 players in the game at that time, but in
1946, Keller ruptured a disk in his back and that pretty much ended his career.
Had Keller played later on in the century, an injury like that certainly
wouldnít end oneís career.
Whether Wynn belongs in the HOF or not is a different
argument for a different time. However, he certainly had a good career. Wynn won
20 games 5 times, and had an ERA 25% better than the league five times as well.
Wynn also had 28 pitching runs or more 5 times and led the league in
pitching runs in 1956. Wynn
should have received the Cy Young for his 1956 performance, but Newcombe won 7
more games, (always helps to have run support 29% better than the league
average) and I guess thatís all that mattered 50 years ago. Wynn had more
pitching runs, pitching wins, innings pitched, ERA+, strikeouts, and gave up
fewer HR than Newcombe did.
Vernon had a really weird career. In his first full year,
he posted a line of .299/.352/.443 with an OPS+ of 114. During the next two
years, he posted a SLG% below .400 and his batting average dropped 15 points.
Remember, people, were talking about a first baseman with a SLG% below .400, not
a SS or a 2B. However, the next year he posted a line of .353/.403/.508 with an
OPS+ of 168 and 49 ABR. Mickey lead the league in 2B and BA that year, and was 5th
in the MVP race as well.
In two out of the next four years, Vernon had negative
batting runs and slugged below .400 twice. In 1951, Vernon hit in the .290ís and
slugged above .400, but in the next year his average dropped 40 points and he
slugged below .400 once again. Despite having a down year in í52, Vernon set a
career high in SLG (.518) tied his previous high in OBP (.403) and led the
league in hitting (.337) and in 2B (43) in 1953. After the Ď53 season, Vernon
steadily declined, as he posted OPS+ of 140, 133, 125, and 97. This was a trend
that Vernon did not break until he finally retired in 1960.
Newhouser was the best pitcher of the 1940ís. Albeit that
there wasnít much competition, it is still a neat accomplishment. Newhouser had
one hell of a peak, and won back-to-back MVP awards, an accomplishment that no
other pitcher can claim to have achieved. Newhouser just beat out teammate Dizzy
Trout (weíll get to him later) in 1944, and beat out Eddie Mayo, also a
teammate, in 1945. From 1944-1948, Newhouser won 118 games and garnered 248
Adjusted Pitching Runs.
Dizzy Trout was certainly a good pitcher, and also much
better than his W-L record showed. Trout had a career record of 170-161, which
is not impressive at all. However, his career ERA was 24% better than the
league, and his career run support was 4% worse than the league average. Hereís
something to chew on: Dizzy Troutís ERA+ was 124, while Warren Spahnís was only
118. Iím not trying to say that Trout was the better pitcher, since Spahn
pitched twice as many innings as Trout did, but it just goes to show how
underrated he is.
I mentioned before that Newhouser just barely beat out
Trout for the 1944 MVP. However, Trout led the league in CG, SHO, IP, ERA, ERA+,
APR, and PW. It must be those damn wins again. Newhouser won 29 while Trout
only won 27.
Well, there you have it: the rookie class of 1939. The next
time someone gets all tied up with this yearís class, just laugh in their face
and tell them to go look at the class of Ď39.
Disagree with something? Got something to add? Wanna bring up something totally new? Tony resides in Queens, New York and can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.