by Richard Van Zandt, BaseballEvolution.com
September 15, 2008
In Part IV of our series on the top San Francisco Giants prospects, Richard examines the organization's top outfielders. San Francisco hopes to find a youngster who can match the apparent success of left fielder Fred Lewis.
Outfield
The biggest knock on Brian Sabean during his 12-year reign
as GM of the Giants has been the teams inability to draft and produce an
everyday position player. Prior to this season, the last such player to achieve
that distinction for San Francisco was Bill Mueller, a 15th round
pick back in 1993 who made his debut in 1996, the season before Sabean took
over. Times have changed, and Fred Lewis, a second round pick in 2002, has
changed them. Lewis this year served as the primary starter in left field for
San Francisco and was one of the teams most consistent hitters. His season
ended early when he decided to undergo surgery to repair a
bunion on his big right toe last Thursday. The painful condition is one
that he has lived with since childhood, but has hampered him from time to time
during the year. The move to get it fixed was made now so that the clubs
expected left fielder in 2009 should be ready to go by spring training.
For the season, Lewis hit .282/.351/.440 with 25 doubles,
11 triples, and 9 home runs. His 11 triples fell just one short of tying the
all-time San Francisco franchise record held jointly by Steve Finley (2006) and
Willie Mays (1960). He served as the teams leadoff hitter for much of the
season and stole 21 bases while scoring 81 times and reaching base safely in 90
of his 108 starts (83%). Although he strikes out too much (124 times), he ends
his season currently third in the NL in pitches per plate appearance (4.23
through 9/11) while his .350 OBP as a leadoff hitter ranks 7th best
in the league (min 100 PA).
Lewis hits the ball well to all fields, but when hes on,
the left-hander's natural opposite field swing will generate a lot of line
drives to the gap in left. A late bloomer (hell turn 28 in December), Lewis
has also displayed a surprising but pleasing ability to learn and grow
mid-season. Despite the Giants' renewed emphasis on the running game, the
speedy Lewis had attempted to steal just once in his first sixteen games (and
was thrown out). He looked tentative and timid, particularly with a southpaw on
the hill. Through early May, he was struggling versus left-handed pitchers,
batting just .158 (3-for-19) while facing them only sporadically. Yet he made
tremendous strides in both departments, stealing 21 bags with a 78 percent
success rate while raising his batting average against lefties to .270 overall
by hitting .296 against them in his last 81 at bats.
His improvement was best exemplified in a July 27 home
contest against the D-Backs with left-hander Randy Johnson toeing the slab. In
the bottom of the first inning, Lewis led off the game with a base hit and
promptly stole both second and third base. By the time the Units night
was over (having thrown 7 shutout innings), Lewis had become the first
left-handed batter ever to collect four hits in a single game against Johnson.
Trivia Question
Can you name the last Giants position
player to win the National League Rookie of the Year Award? |
San Francisco will count on even bigger things from Lewis
next year with a full major league season now under Lewis' belt. While he began
the year spending most of his time in the leadoff role, Lewis had more recently
begun to see time in the middle of the lineup, where the team feels he can be a
dangerous run producer over the next few years. Hell need to improve his
hitting on the road to do so. At pitcher friendly AT&T Park, Lewis batted .331,
but he hit just .233 on the road.
The Giants have never denied that they focused on pitching
in the draft during Sabeans reign in order to spin that much coveted pitching
promise for ready major league needs (see Jason Schmidt, Joe Carter, Andres
Galarraga, and Robb Nen, among others). Developing position players had not been
the focus of the minor league system until recently; the team had focused its
resources (read as money) on the major league roster. Yet for all the criticism
that has been recently lobbed at Sabean, the biggest volley is no longer in the
critics arsenal. Sabean can thank Fred Lewis for that.
The next big test will be to produce another everyday
player. With Buster Posey and Conor Gillaspie on the way, it shouldnt
take too long. Among the outfield candidates, the teams best prospect spent
his summer
smashing into catchers at the Summer Olympics in Beijing.
San Francisco Giants
Top Ten Outfield Prospects
1. Nate Schierholtz
2. Wendell Fairley
3. Rafael Rodriguez
4. John Bowker
5. Eddy Martinez-Esteve
6. Roger Kieschnick
7. Brian Horwitz
8. Francisco Peguero
9. Ben Copeland
10. Bobby Felmy
Nate Schierholtz
2008 - .320/.363/.594 22 2B, 10 3B, 18 HR, 73 RBI 93 G
National League San
Francisco Giants Active Roster
2nd round
2003 DOB 2-15-84 Bats Left
Easily the player most affected by the teams decision to
sign
free agent Aaron Rowand this past winter was Schierholtz. Despite batting
.333/.365/.560 with 16 home runs at Triple-A last year (and .304 in 112 major
league at bats), the move guaranteed Randy Winns role as the teams right
fielder and left Nate headed back to Fresno, where he picked up right where he
had left off. His exceptional play not only earned him a spot in this years
Futures Game in New York City, but also a spot on the bronze medal winning USA
Olympic team, where he earned a reputation for hard nosed play (.216, 4
2B, 1 HR).
He was recalled when rosters the expanded in September
after having batted .432 in his last 74 at bats for Fresno and promptly
collected 13 hits in his first 30 at bats (.433 through 9/12 including a
four-hit effort in just his second game back with the club). With nothing left
to prove in the minors and the 34-year old Winn signed through next year,
Schierholtz could wind up as trade bait this winter, but if the Giants are
serious about building for the long-term, theyd be better off finding a way to
move the still-productive Randy Winn.
Wendell Fairley
2008 .259/.388/.337 26 BB, 7 SB, 52 G
Arizona Rookie League
AZL Giants
1st round
2007 29th overall DOB 3-17-88 Bats Left
Fairley might have gone higher in the 07 draft had it not
been for some legal issues and questions about his character. With six picks in
the first 51, The Giants still felt the risk was worth it for the athletic,
five-tool player and took him at number 29 with their third overall pick. He
was the first position player taken by San Francisco in the first round
(non-supplemental) since they drafted Tony Torcato at number 19 in 1998. As it
turned out, his legal issues were minor and the questions regarding his
character were unfounded.
Scouting reports rate him as a plus runner who can hit for
average and power (he hit .538 with 9 HR his senior year in high school) and
play a solid center field. He works the count well and makes solid contact.
His left-handed pull stroke could bode well at Willie Mays Field, where it is
just 309 feet down the right field line. His speed should make him ideal for
covering the vast expanses in centerfield. He has, at times, been compared to
Carl Crawford.
Fairley signed late last year, then was nicked up this
Spring Training (shoulder and oblique injuries) and consequently, only made his
pro debut this June. Still very rough, the team has no plans to rush Fairley,
particularly with Rowand signed through 2012, but its conceivable that he could
make his debut by late 2011.
Rafael Rodriguez
2008 N/A
Signed as amateur
free agent July 13, 2008 DOB 7-13-92 Bats Right
The Giants scored a hit in the international market this
year with the signing of Rodriguez, rated by ESPNDeportes.com as the 4th
best Latin prospect available. Signed on his 16th birthday to a
$2.55 million bonus, he broke the club record for an amateur player previously
held by Angel Villalona, but held it for just over a month before Buster Posey
smashed it with his $6.2 M. Already 65 tall and weighing 198 pounds, he has
been called a complete five-tool player with power to all fields; power that is
only likely to increase as he gets older and fills out. Former Giants manager
and current special assistant to the GM Felipe Alou said of Rodriguez after his
signing, I saw him play in a couple of games when I came to the island, and I
havent seen him swing and miss at a pitch yet, against guys four years older
than he is. He may follow a similar path as Villalona by beginning his pro
career late next summer in the AZL as a 17-year old.
John Bowker 2008
w/SF .244/.294/.393 9 HR, 40 RBI, 70 K 303 AB
National League San
Francisco Giants Active Roster
3rd round
2004 DOB 7-8-83 Bats Left
After stagnating for two mostly unimpressive seasons at San
Jose, Bowker broke out in 2007, batting .307/.363/.523 with 35 doubles and 22
home runs for Connecticut in the pitcher-friendly Eastern League to open some
organizational eyes. He struggled in the majors against southpaws (5-for-33),
although in his minor league career, he has hit as well against lefties (.284)
as he has right-handers (.286). Bowker showed good power potential in his first
ML stint, but fell into a deep slump while often chasing pitches up and out of
the strike zone. Since his September recall, he is 0-for-3 as a pinch-hitter.
Hell need to be more selective and show better pitch recognition to have
sustained success at the big league level, but his defensive versatility and
power potential will improve his chances of making the team next spring.
Eddy Martinez-Esteve
2008 - .298/.388/.383 15 2B, 6 HR, 54 BB, 37 K
Eastern League
Connecticut Defenders
2nd round
2004 DOB 7-14-83 Bats Right
Injuries and inconsistency have plagued EME since the
former top pick put up big numbers for San Jose in 2005. The first player
selected by the Giants in 2004 (they surrendered their first round pick that
year to Kansas City for the right to sign free agent Michael Tucker), he
appeared in just 75 games last season and only 27 the year before, but appears
to have righted himself this season despite some early reports of a weight
problem. He hasnt hit for much power, but much of that can be attributed to
playing his home games at Dodd Stadium, known for its extreme-pitcher friendly
tendencies. His .277 home slugging percentage was nearly .200 points lower
than his road mark of .476. In fact, all but two of his extra-base hits,
including all of his home runs, were hit in road contests. A notoriously poor
defender, hell need to develop more power next season with Fresno in what could
be a make-or-break season.
Roger Kieschnick
2008 w/Texas Tech - .305/.407/.632 17 HR, 65 RBI
Big 12 Conference
Junior Texas Tech Red Raiders
3rd round
2008 DOB 1-21-87 Bats Left
A distant cousin of former Cubs first round pick Brooks
Kieschnick, Roger had similar high hopes, going into his junior year at Texas
Tech ranked as the top amateur player in the state. Spotty plate discipline and
a relatively disappointing batting average dropped pre-draft expectations to the
sandwich or second round, however. With ability to hit for power to all fields
and a prototypical makeup for a right-fielder, he could be a bargain for the
Giants at the 82nd overall pick. He was signed to a 2009 contract
and didnt play in the minors this season, but he will begin his pro career this
winter playing in the Hawaiian Winter League along with super-prospect Buster
Posey. With a nice showing in Waikiki, Kieschnick could wind up beginning the
09 season with Augusta.
Brian Horwitz 2008
MiLB - .277/.353/.405 7 HR, 31 BB, 42 K 86 G
Trivia Answer
Gary Sarge Mathews was the last San
Francisco position player to win the NL ROY award when he hit
.300/.367/.444 with 12 HR in 1973 as the Giants' left fielder
|
Pacific Coast League
Fresno Grizzlies 40-man Roster
Signed as amateur
free agent 2004 DOB 11-7-82 Bats Right
Horwitz has been a successful hitter at every minor league
level, and that success earned him his first crack at the majors this season.
After a strong start (6-for-14, 2 HR), he was sent back to Fresno at the end of
June, when sporadic play began to take its toll (collecting just 2 hits in his
last 22 AB). Undrafted out of college, he has opened the organizations eyes by
producing a career line of .319/.387/.422. He doesnt have much power or speed,
so hell need to excel in getting on base if he hopes to make it in the majors.
He's not a likely starter, but he could make a nice fourth or fifth
outfielder/pinch-hitter someday.
Francisco Peguero
2008 MiLB - .285/.330/.388 25 XBH, 43 RBI, 25-of-29 SB 99 G
Northwest League
Salem-Keizer Volcanoes
Signed as amateur
free agent 2005 DOB 6-1-88 Bats - Right
A slashing type of hitter with a lot of speed, Peguero has
the range to play centerfield, but enough arm to handle right field. Defense
will be his calling; the top of the order where hell bat (think Endy Chavez).
He made his pro debut this year after spending the previous two seasons in the
Dominican Summer League and struggled after debuting with Augusta, where he was
among the youngest players on the team. Peguero rebounded nicely after being
sent to Salem-Keizer in July, his .307 batting average for the Volcanoes ranking
sixth in the Northwest League. Likely to open with Augusta, he could instead
move up to San Jose quickly with a nice start.
Ben Copeland 2008
MiLB - .276/.350/.411 17 2B, 13 3B, 5 HR, 24 SB 125 G
Pacific Coast League
Fresno Grizzlies
4th round
2005 DOB 12-17-83 Bats Left
After batting just .173 in April and only .213 through May,
Copeland bounced back to hit .302 in June and .333 in July to earn an August
promotion to Fresno, where he hit .341. Like EME his overall line has
suffered because home in Connecticut was anything but sweet. On the road, he
hit .308/.372/.456, but at Dodd Stadium, his line slipped to .223/.306/.389.
His best attribute is his speed, and hes been using it more effectively this
year than any previous ones, swiping 24 stolen bases in 31 attempts (77%).
Copeland is most useful at the top of the order and can play all three outfield
positions.
Bobby Felmy 2008 -
.283/.340/.385 25 2B, 6 HR, 18 SB 126 G
California League
San Jose Giants Class-A
22nd round
2006 DOB 4-29-84 Bats Left
At 510 and 200 pounds, Felmy has been described as a
bowling ball that does everything pretty well but possesses no standout tools.
He does have nice pop for his size, a little bit of speed, and a plus arm in
left field. He is also capable of handling left-handers (.309/.356/.463 this
year; .294/.351/.487 career). Felmy had a nice year in Augusta in 07 with 31
doubles, 15 home runs, and 83 RBI, keeping up a record of great consistency (he
batted .281 in 06 and 07 before hitting .283 this year). The speedster
has racked up 54 stolen bases in his three-pro seasons.
Honorable Mentions
Clay Timpner 2008 -
.245/.301/.323 13 SB, 3 HR 119 G
Pacific Coast League
Fresno Grizzlies
4th round
2004 DOB 5-13-83 Bats Left
Timpner has been hailed as a multi-skilled athletic
centerfielder reminiscent of long-time Sabean favorite Steve Finley. Good speed
and great defense are Timpners top attributes, but his lack of power is
evident, as he owns just 24 career minor league round-trippers in almost 2,400
career PA. Timpner was added to the 40-man roster this past winter after a
strong 07 at Fresno (.301/.363/.395), and despite being drafted two rounds
after Martinez-Esteve, he made his ML debut this past April when Rowand broke a
rib. The 2008 season was an inconsistent struggle, however. After batting .284
in April, he hit just .216 from May through July before finishing up with a .288
mark in August. Throughout his career, Timpner has struggled against lefties,
batting just .227 versus them while hitting .287 against right-handers. He got
outrighted off the big league roster when the club purchased the contract of
Conor Gillaspie and will need a big bounce back season to regain his prospect
status. More likely, his decent will continue.
Antoan Richardson
2008 - .241/.356/.329 55 BB, 82 K, 33 SB
Eastern League
Connecticut Defenders
35th round
2005 DOB 10-8-83 Bats Switch
Like many of his teammates, the speed burning Richardson
struggled at the plate this year, particularly at run-suppressing Dodd Stadium.
Despite that, his career on-base percentage stands at .392. He is possibly the
fastest player in the organization, boasting 182 stolen bases in 3 ½ minor
league seasons. He is considered the best defensive outfielder as well.
These traits fit the teams current mantra of pitching, speed, and defense.
Juan Carlos Perez
2008 w/WOS JC - .465/.530/1.102 24 2B, 37 HR, 102 RBI, 29 SB, 64 G
Southwest District
Freshman Western Oklahoma State Junior College
13th
round 2008 DOB 11-13-86 Bats Right
Giants Factoid
Juan Carlos Perez was a teammate
with infamous former Little Leaguer
Danny Almonte. Perez 2008 college roomie went 7-1 for the Pioneers
while batting .497 with 14 home runs. |
The most intriguing of the Giants 2008 draft picks, Perez
played at Western Oklahoma State Junior College after spending the past two
years since his high school graduation playing in local mens leagues in the
Bronx. In his only season at WOS, Perez shattered the Division II record for
most home runs, breaking the old mark by a whopping 14 and missing the overall
Juco best by just one homer. His 102 RBI set a new Division II record and
helped lead the Pioneers to a 52-12 record and a berth in the NJCAA World
Series. Baseball America says that Perez "has a sound swing with bat
speed and easy power, average speed and arm strength. He wasnt expected to
play until next year after signing a 2009 contract, but his pro debut may be
delayed a little longer because he recently tore his ACL in practice. He isnt
expected to begin running until January at the earliest.
Mike McBryde 2008 -
.295/.368/.383 31 SB, 21 XBH, 37 BB, 84 K 420 AB
California League
San Jose Giants
5th round
2006 DOB 3-22-85 Bats Right
McBryde had his best season yet offensively despite high
strikeout totals and low power numbers. His defense is a work in progress,
having committed 25 errors combined in 07 and 08. In an August contest I
attended, however, he displayed a very strong and accurate throwing arm from
right field, nailing one base runner at the plate while narrowly missing
another.
Michael Mooney 2008
MiLB - .241/.295/.492 22 2B, 18 HR, 46 RBI, 14 SB 91 G
Eastern League
Connecticut Defenders
16th round
2003 DOB 6-8-83 Bats Right
A strong start with San Jose (.303 through May) earned
Mooney an assignment with the injury depleted Fresno squad, where he hit just
.236 but showed a little power with a .458 SLG. After a return to SJ, where he
batted .287 in July with 5 HR, he finished up the year in Connecticut,
struggling badly (.167 in 66 AB), but did hit 4 HR theere to finish the year
with 18 cumulatively. He has some speed and a little bit of pop. Already done
with his sixth pro season, he faces long odds in a well stocked position and
will become a free agent if not protected on the 40-man roster.
Garrett Baker 2008
- .264/.329/.414 9 HR, 63 RBI, 33 BB, 89 K 119 G
South Atlantic League
Augusta Green Jackets
Signed as amateur
free agent 2007 DOB 11-16-83 Bats Right
Baker was signed as a fifth-year senior out of Dallas
Baptist, where he hit .293 and slugged .569. He also clubbed 16 home runs
and stole 20 bases, both team highs. Eligible to sign early because of his age,
Baker inked as a free agent just prior to the 07 draft and excelled in his
debut campaign (.308/.393/.523 7 HR) before stumbling a bit this year. He
finished the season strong with a .323/.380/.556 line in August, and the club
hopes his power numbers will blossom with experience. Baker should move up to
San Jose in 09.
Caleb Curry 2008 -
.270/.349/.319 27 BB, 55 K, 13 SB, 10 CS 68 G
Northwest League
Salem-Keizer Volcanoes
14th round
2008 DOB 4-23-86 Bats Right
A plus runner on the bases with good instincts in
centerfield, Curry stole an Iowa school record 45 bases in his senior year while
batting .396 with 7 home runs. He is a work in progress as a leadoff hitter,
but could add some pop as he fills out. Curry hit .294 (5-for-17) in the
Northwest League playoffs.
Ryan Mantle 2008
.310/.379/.452 17 XBH, 29 RBI, 17 BB, 32 K, 9 SB 45 G
Arizona Rookie League
AZL Giants
19th round
2008 DOB 7-12-86 Bats Right
This college teammate of 3B prospect Josh Mazzola and a
third cousin of Mickey Mantle has good speed, a little power, and a strong arm,
but is vulnerable to breaking pitches.
Ben Woodbury 2008
.317/.432/.381 24 BB, 11 K, 18-of-19 SB 41 G
Arizona Rookie League
AZL Giants
Signed as amateur
free agent 2008 DOB 2-21-86 Bats Right
Another Missouri State
product, Woodbury was signed as an undrafted free agent after batting
.388/.452/.498 in his senior year. Prior to that, he played two seasons of JC
ball, seeing time at both centerfield and shortstop for Three Rivers Community
College in Poplar Bluff. In two seasons leading off and playing center for the
Bears, he batted .350 with 28 stolen bases. A terrific contact hitter with a
good eye at the plate, Woodbury struck out only 30 times in 457 at bats for
Missouri State, even putting together a streak of 100 consecutive without one
during the 07 season. Hes a potential diamond in the rough and a player to
keep an eye on.
Darren Ford 2008
MiLB - .227/.329/.293 69 BB, 130 K, 62 SB 129 G
California League
San Jose Giants
18th round
2004 Milwaukee DOB 10-1-85 Bats Right
Acquired in the deal that sent Ray Durham to Milwaukee,
Ford has 216 career stolen bases through four pro seasons, but a batting line of
just .264/.350/.355 to match. He has struggled to adapt to Hi-A pitching,
batting just .228 in 744 at bats after having hit .292 in 951 at bats in low-A
and Rookie League ball.
Shane Jordan 2008 -
.253/.355/.299 35 SB, 65 BB, 60 K 123 G
South Atlantic League
Augusta Green Jackets
43rd round
2007 DOB 11-26-84 Bats Left
A college teammate of Brian Bocock, the 57 Jordan has
good speed (50 stolen bases over parts of two seasons) and nice plate discipline
with (more walks in his pro career than strikeouts, 100:93). His batting
average and slugging took a nose dive this year after batting .300/.389/.413
last season for Salem-Keizer.
Tyler Graham 2008
.264/.324/.330 51 R, 47 SB 84 G
California League
San Jose Giants
19th round
2006 DOB 1-25-84 Bats Right
Another of the clubs many speed burners, as evidenced by
his 90 stolen bases in 200 pro games, Graham was the centerfielder for Oregon
State in 2006 and caught the final out against North Carolina in the Beavers'
first ever College World Series championship.
A very special thank you goes out to Phillip
Ramirez, my Arizona eyes and ears, whose contributions to this report were
absolutely invaluable. Be sure to check out his
AZL Giants Blog for all the latest the Giants top Rookie League prospects.
Additional thanks also go out to Wes Snow in Augusta for all of his help.
San
Francisco Giants Minor League Affiliates |
Team |
League |
Class |
Fresno Grizzlies |
Pacific Coast League |
AAA |
Connecticut Defenders |
Eastern League |
AA |
San Jose Giants |
California League |
A (Advanced) |
Augusta Green Jackets |
South Atlantic League |
A |
Salem-Keizer Volcanoes |
Northwest League |
A (Short-Season) |
AZL Giants |
Arizona Rookie League |
Rookie |
DSL Giants |
Dominican Summer League |
Rookie |
Other
Articles in the Series:
Monday, September 8
Catchers
Wednesday, September 10
Corner Infielders